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2/10/2020
The day after ... the 2020 Oscars
The show got off to a terrible start: Janelle Monae opened the ball with a new rendition of A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood in which she had little luck getting the startled stars to sing along and belted untimely self-praise for being a women, black and queer. She wasn't nominated for anything but set a tiring tone right off the bat, which continued into the next joy-squashing segment: Past hosts Steve Martin and Chris Rock took the stage as 'non-hosts', who picked at the show's sores of having no women director nominees and only one non-white actor nominated this year. Was this funny? No, not really. And it was a strange way to open a show; by throwing verbally stigmatic acid all over the stage and thereby belittling every one who would win statuettes for their hard work in the following hours. This opening certainly argues in favor of ending the no-host reign and giving us a strong host for the show next year.
Luckily the show came underway with many strong winner speeches, a montage about songs in movies and a surprise performance by Eminem, rapping his Lose Yourself major hit from 8 Mile (2002), ending the segment with the night's best musical performance. Chrissy Metz was made to perform her I'm Standing With You haphazardly fast; Randy Newman was terrific; Cynthia Erivo had the room standing up for one of the night's most predictable moments for her slave drama song Stand Up, but Elton John's (I'm Gonna) Love Me Again was a great highlight.
My predictions held up uncommonly strong, and there were few surprises, (Ford v Ferrari taking Best Editing; Taika Waititi winning Best Adapted Screenplay; 1917 winning Best Visual Effects), - right up until the major surprise and historic turn that makes the 92nd Academy Awards truly film history: South-Korean Parasite's complete triumph. Regrettably still not having seen it, I wasn't expecting this, and my predictions actually expected this to be Quentin Tarantino's big night. A foreign language film had never won Best Picture until last night, and a Korean film had never even been nominated for an Oscar before this year. Now Bong Joon Ho's Parasite won 4 Oscars, and not 'small' Oscars: Best Original Screenplay, Best International Feature, Best Director and Best Picture. A big break in Hollywood tradition and an incredible feat. The acceptance speeches from Ho and his team were wonderful, and they sealed an Oscar night that went down the books for something amazing despite all the self-righteous nonsense of a lot of the talent chose to showcase.
My Oscars prediction record from the past now 7 years:
2014: 7 correct / 33 % - worst prediction
2015: 13 correct / 62 %
2016: 16 correct / 76 % - best prediction
2017: 11 correct / 52 %
2018: 14 correct / 66 %
2019: 11 correct / 52 %
2020: 13 correct / 62 %
Here follows a full list of the predictions, favorites and winners of the night:
Red marks the person/s or film I predicted would win the Oscar
Film Excess favorite marks the person/s or film I hoped would win the Oscar
Winner marks the person or film that actually won the Oscar
Best Visual Effects
1917 Winner
Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
The Lion King
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Film Excess favorite
Best Film Editing
Ford v Ferrari Winner
The Irishman Film Excess favorite
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Parasite
Best Costume Design
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women Film Excess favorite Winner
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1917
Bombshell Film Excess favorite Winner
Joker
Judy
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
Best Cinematography
1917, Roger Deakins Winner
The Irishman, Rodrigo Prieto
Joker, Lawrence Sher
The Lighthouse, Jarin Blaschke Film Excess favorite
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Robin Richardson
Best Production Design
1917
The Irishman Film Excess favorite
Jojo Rabbit
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Winner
Parasite
Best Sound Mixing
1917 Winner
Ad Astra
Ford v Ferrari Film Excess favorite
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Best Sound Editing
1917
Ford v Ferrari Winner
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Film Excess favorite
Best Original Song
I Can't Let You Through Yourself Away, Toy Story 4
(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again, Rocketman Film Excess favorite Winner
I'm Standing With You, Breakthrough
Into the Unknown, Frozen II
Stand Up, Harriet
Best Original Score
1917, Thomas Newman
Joker, Hildur Guðnadóttir Winner
Little Women, Alexander Desplat Film Excess favorite
Marriage Story, Randy Newman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, John Williams
Best Documentary Feature
American Factory Winner
The Cave Film Excess favorite
The Edge of Democracy
For Sama
Honeyland
Best International Feature
Corpus Christi, Poland, Jan Komasa
Honeyland, North Macedonia, Tamara Kotevska, Ljubomir Stefanov
Les Misérables, France, Ladj Ly
Pain and Glory, Spain, Pedro Almodóvar
Parasite, South Korea, Bong Joon-ho Film Excess favorite Winner
Best Animated Feature
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link Film Excess favorite
Toy Story 4 Winner
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Irishman, Steve Zaillian Film Excess favorite
Jojo Rabbit, Taika Waititi Winner
Joker, Todd Phillips, Scott Silver
Little Women, Greta Gerwig
The Two Popes, Antony McCarten
Best Original Screenplay
1917, Sam Mendes
Knives Out, Rian Johnson
Marriage Story, Noah Baumbach
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Quentin Tarantino
Parasite, Bong Joon-ho Film Excess favorite Winner
Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story Film Excess favorite Winner
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell
Best Supporting Actor
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman Film Excess favorite
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Winner
Best Actress
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women Film Excess favorite
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renée Zellweger, Judy Winner
Best Actor
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver, Marriage Story Film Excess favorite
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker Winner
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Best Director
Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Todd Phillips, Joker
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite Film Excess favorite Winner
Best Picture
1917
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women Film Excess favorite
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite Winner
Related posts:
Oscars 2020: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the 2019 Oscars
Oscars 2019: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the 2018 Oscars
Oscars 2018: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after ... the Oscars 2017
Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the Oscars 2016
Oscars 2016 - Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the Oscars 2015
Oscars 2015: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
The day after ... the Oscars 2014
Oscars 2014: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
What did you think of the 2020 Oscars?
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