Oscars 2020: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

2/09/2020

Oscars 2020: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

So the night of the 92nd Academy Awards are upon us. Following the relative success of last year's first host-less show in decades, (less to quip about), the Oscars go without a host for another year tonight. And the period leading up to the awards this year has not been filled with talks of new or revised categories or ceremony downscaling, as was the case last year. New stability and general popularity is surely hoped for by the show producers and the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. But lack of racial and gender diversity in the 'big' categories again threatens to add poison to the night and its wins.

Similarly to last year, I have only been able to see 8 of the nominated 38 feature films so far, those 8 being: Avengers: Endgame, The Irishman, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Little Women, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Judy, Honeyland and Pain and Glory.
Most nominated of the year is Todd Phillips' smash hit Joker with 11 noms, the first time a comics character movie leads an Oscar race. It is followed by 1917, The Irishman and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood with 10 nominations and thereafter comes Jojo Rabbit, Little Women, Marriage Story and Parasite with 6 each.
The expected blatant injustices of the Oscars are eventually righted in Film Excess' annual lists of the best and worst of 2019, which will eventually boom to include more honors and Film Excess' awards (the latter only when the annual review tally crosses 100 titles.) So keep coming back here to see what was actually the best (and worst) of 2019 in films and TV-series.

My Oscars prediction record from the past 6 years on this site looks like this:

2014: 7 correct / 33 % - worst prediction
2015: 13 correct / 62 %
2016: 16 correct / 76 % - best prediction
2017: 11 correct / 52 %
2018: 14 correct / 66 %
2019: 11 correct / 52 %

Following are the 21 major categories. The three short film categories are as usual left out, as I have no insight or opinion about them.

Here follows a full list of the predictions, favorites and eventual winners of the night:

Red marks the person/s or film I predicted would win the Oscar
Film Excess favorite marks the person/s or film I hoped would win the Oscar
Winner marks the person or film that actually won the Oscar

Best Visual Effects

1917 Winner
Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
The Lion King
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Film Excess favorite

Best Film Editing

Ford v Ferrari Winner
The Irishman Film Excess favorite
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Parasite

Best Costume Design

The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women Film Excess favorite Winner
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1917
Bombshell Film Excess favorite Winner
Joker
Judy
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

Best Cinematography

1917, Roger Deakins Winner
The Irishman, Rodrigo Prieto
Joker, Lawrence Sher
The Lighthouse, Jarin Blaschke Film Excess favorite
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Robin Richardson

Best Production Design

1917
The Irishman Film Excess favorite
Jojo Rabbit
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Winner
Parasite

Best Sound Mixing

1917 Winner
Ad Astra
Ford v Ferrari Film Excess favorite
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Best Sound Editing

1917
Ford v Ferrari Winner
Joker
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Film Excess favorite

Best Original Song

I Can't Let You Through Yourself Away, Toy Story 4
(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again, Rocketman Film Excess favorite Winner
I'm Standing With You, Breakthrough
Into the Unknown, Frozen II
Stand Up, Harriet

Best Original Score

1917, Thomas Newman
Joker, Hildur Guðnadóttir Winner
Little Women, Alexander Desplat Film Excess favorite
Marriage Story, Randy Newman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, John Williams

Best Documentary Feature

American Factory Winner
The Cave Film Excess favorite
The Edge of Democracy
For Sama
Honeyland

Best International Feature

Corpus Christi, Poland, Jan Komasa
Honeyland, North Macedonia, Tamara Kotevska, Ljubomir Stefanov
Les Misérables, France, Ladj Ly
Pain and Glory, Spain, Pedro Almodóvar
Parasite, South Korea, Bong Joon-ho Film Excess favorite Winner

Best Animated Feature

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link Film Excess favorite
Toy Story 4 Winner

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Irishman, Steve Zaillian Film Excess favorite
Jojo Rabbit, Taika Waititi Winner
Joker, Todd Phillips, Scott Silver
Little Women, Greta Gerwig
The Two Popes, Antony McCarten

Best Original Screenplay

1917, Sam Mendes
Knives Out, Rian Johnson
Marriage Story, Noah Baumbach
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Quentin Tarantino
Parasite, Bong Joon-ho Film Excess favorite Winner

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story Film Excess favorite Winner
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell

Best Supporting Actor

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman Film Excess favorite
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Winner

Best Actress

Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women Film Excess favorite
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renée Zellweger, Judy Winner

Best Actor

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver, Marriage Story Film Excess favorite
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker Winner
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Best Director

Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Todd Phillips, Joker
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite Film Excess favorite Winner

Best Picture

1917
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women Film Excess favorite
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite Winner

Related posts:

The day after the day after ... the 2019 Oscars
Oscars 2019: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the 2018 Oscars
Oscars 2018: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after ... the Oscars 2017
Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the Oscars 2016
Oscars 2016 - Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
The day after the day after ... the Oscars 2015
Oscars 2015: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
The day after ... the Oscars 2014
Oscars 2014: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites

What are your predictions and hopes for the wins of night?
What do you think of my predictions and favorites here?
Enjoy the 2020 Oscars

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William Friedkin has died

Born in Chicago, Friedkin accrued TV credits prior to his advance to the big screen as the director of Good TImes (1967), The Birthday Party (1968), The Night They Raided Minsky's (1968) and The Boys in the Band (1970) before his major breakthrough, The French Connection (1971), for which he won his only Oscar. He followed it up with the even bigger smash, The Exorcist (1973), arguably the best horror film of all time, for which he was Oscar-nominated. Later credits include Sorcerer (1977), Cruising (1980), To Live and Die in L.A. (1985), Rampage (1987), Rules of Engagement (2000), Killer Joe (2011) and The Devil and Father Amorth (2017, documentary). Friedkin passed away at age 87. R.I.P.

Louise Fletcher has passed away

Born in Alabama to deaf parents, Fletcher got her first credits in late-1950s TV-series.She took a 10 year-long sabbatical to devote her time to motherhood after the release of A Gathering of Eagles, but then came back and soon saw her career's most important part, as Nurse Ratched in One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), for which she won her sole Oscar. Later credits include Exorcist II: The Heretic (1977), The Lucky Star (1980), Brainstorm (1983), Two Moon Junction (1988), Cruel Intentions (1999), A Perfect Man (2013) and many more. Fletcher passed away at age 88. R.I.P.

Jean-Luc Godard has passed away

Born in Paris, France, Godard lived much of his life in Switzerland. He wrote for French film criticism magazine Cahiers du Cinema and became foundational for the New French Wave that inspired new waves in scores of other countries across the world with his Breathless (1960). Later credits include A Woman Is A Woman (1961), Vivre Sa Vie (1962), Le Petit Soldat (1962), Contempt (1963), Alphaville (1965), Pierrot le Fou (1965), 2 or 3 Things I Know About Her (1967), Weekend (1967), Every Man for Himself (1980), King Lear (1987), Century of Cinema (1995, documentary), Goodbye to Language (2014) and many more. Godard died of assisted suicide at age 91. R.I.P.

Wolfgang Petersen has died

James Caan has died

Caan was born the son of Jewish immigrants from Germany in New York. He got his start on TV in the early 1960s. His credits include El Dorado (1966), The Rain People (1969), Brian's Song (1971, TV movie), The Godfather (1972), - for which he earned his only Oscar nomination, - Slither (1973), The Gambler (1974), Funny Lady (1975), Rollerball (1975), Silent Movie (1976), Hide in Plain Sight (1980), - the only film he also directed, - Thief (1981), Misery (1990), Honeymoon in Vegas (1992), Bottle Rocket (1996), Eraser (1996), Dogville (2003), Elf (2003), Las Vegas (2003-07), Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs (2009) and many more. Caan passed away at age 82. R.I.P.

Jean-Louis Trintignant has died

Born in Vaucluse, France, Trintignant's theatrical debut as an actor was in If All the Guys in the World... (1955). Later credits include ...And God Created Woman (1956), The Seven Deadly Sins (1961), Inferno (1964), A Man and A Woman (1966), My Love, My Love (1967), A Man to Kill (1967), The Great Silence (1968), Z (1969), The Assassination (1972), Three Colors: Red (1994), Amour (2012), Happy End (2017) and many more. He also wrote and directed two films in the 1970s. Trintignant passed away at age 91. R.I.P.

Ray Liotta has died

Adopted from an orphenage at a young age, Liotta got hooked on acting in high school. He had various TV credits in the late 1970s and early 80s, with his film debut in The Lonely Lady (1983). Later credits include Something Wild (1986), Field of Dreams (1989), Goodfellas (1990), Cop Land (1997), Hannibal (2001), Blow (2001), Narc (2002), John Q (2002), Identity (2003), Observe and Report (2009), Youth in Revolt (2009), The Details (2011), Killing THem Softly (2012), The Place Beyond the Pines (2012), Shades of Blue (2016-18), The Simpsons (2018, TV-series), Marriage Story (2019), The Many Saints of Newark (2021), Black Bird (2022, TV-series) and many more. Liotta passed away at age 67 in his sleep while on production in the Dominican Republic. R.I.P.

Philip Baker Hall has died

Born in Ohio, Hall didn't start acting until he was 30. His long list of credits include Zabriskie Point (1970), Miami Vice (1987, TV-series), Midnight Run (1988), Ghostbusters II (1989), Cheers (1993, TV-series), Hard Eight (1996), The Rock (1996), Air Force One (1997), Boogie Nights (1997), Seinfeld (1991-98), Rush Hour (1998), The Insider (1999), Magnolia (1999), The Talented Mr. Ripley (1999), Bruce Almighty (2003), Dogville (2003), The Zodiac (2005), Zodiac (2007), Curb Your Enthusiasm (2004-09), Mr. Popper's Penguins (2011), Modern Family (2011-12) and many more. Hall passed away at age 90. R.I.P.

William Hurt has passed away

Born in Washington D.C., Hurt's first film role was the lead in Altered States (1980). Later credits include Body Heat (1981), The Big Chill (1983), Gorky Park (1983), Kiss of the Spider Woman (1985), for which he earned his only Oscar as Best Actor; Chilrdren of a Lesser God (1986), for which he was also Oscar-nominated; Broadcast News (1987), for which he was again Oscar-nominated; Smoke (1995), A.I. Artificial Intelligence (2001), A History of Violence (2005), for which he was again Oscar-nominated; The Good Shepherd (2006), Into the Wild (2007), Robin Hood (2010) and many more. Hurt passed away at age 71. R.I.P.

Ivan Reitman has passed away

Born in Chechoslovakia, now Slovakia, Reitman's family fled the Soviet regime to Austria, then Toronto, when he was 4 years old. Reitman broke into movies as a director with Foxy Lady (1971). Later credits include Cannibal Girls (1973), Meatballs (1979), Stripes (1981), Ghostbusters (1984), Twins (1988), Ghostbusters II (1989), Kindergarten Cop (1990), Junior (1994), Father's Day (1997), Evolution (1998), No Strings Attached (2011), Draft Day (2014) and more. Reitman's son Jason Reitman is also a great filmmaker. Reitman passed away at age 75. R.I.P.

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2/09/2020

Oscars 2020: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

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