The 91st Academy Awards tonight is the culmination of many months of unsure courses set by the academy, leading to a host-less Oscar show, where much about the event seems to be up in the air, and where the risk of a ratings and PR disaster for the academy is very present.
Academy plans for a 'Popular Oscar' category were dismantled after furor; as was plans for relegating 4 categories to commercial breaks, as prominent filmmakers were again enraged. Only having two of the nominated songs performed inspired more anger and was also canceled. Plans to have Kevin Hart host fell through, as he refused to apologize for past homophobic statements, which he said he had already apologized for; (he then apologized anyway and basically jumped ship from the high-pressure event.) Dwayne Johnson has outed himself as prospect Oscar host, but he also bailed. The academy has failed to book such good hosting cards such as Hugh Jackman, Tig Notaro or Louie Anderson. Whether it will succeed in making a shorter broadcast as was the ambition, - we will have to wait and see.
The Oscars are looking more dubious than ever before, and the night should hopefully prove these months wrong in order for the tradition to live on successfully.
This year, I have so far only been able to watch 8 of the 37 nominated features, (I leave out the 3 short film categories as usual.) Those 8 films are: The Favourite, Black Panther, Border, Cold War, A Star Is Born, A Quiet Place, Shoplifters and The Wife.
Most nominated this year with 10 apiece are Roma and The Favourite, followed by A Star Is Born and Vice with 8 each. The injustices of the Oscars are righted in Film Excess' annual lists of the best and worst of 2018, which will boom to include more honors and Film Excess' awards (the latter only when the 2018 review tally crosses 100 titles.) So keep coming back here to see what was actually the best (and worst) of the year in films and TV-series.
My record for predictions from the past 5 years is this: 2014 (7 correct/33 % - worst prediction), 2015 (13 correct/62 %), 2016 (16 correct/76 % - best prediction), 2017 (11 correct/52 %) and 2018 (14 correct/66 %).
Following are the 21 major categories. Red marks the film or performer/s that I predict will win the Oscar, while Film Excess favorite marks my personal favorite in each category.
Best Visual Effects:
Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man Film Excess favorite
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Best Film Editing:
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book Film Excess favorite
Vice
Bost Costume Design
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Black Panther
The Favourite Film Excess favorite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice Film Excess favorite
Best Cinematography
Cold War - Lukasz Zal Film Excess favorite
The Favourite - Robbie Ryan
Never Look Away - Caleb Deschanel
Roma - Alfonso Cuarón
A Star Is Born - Matthew Libatique
Best Production Design
Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man Film Excess favorite
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma
Best Sound Mixing
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born Film Excess favorite
Best Sound Editing
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place Film Excess favorite
Roma
Best Original Song
All the Stars - Black Panther
I'll Fight - RBG
The Place Where Lost Things Go - Marry Poppins Returns
Shallow - A Star Is Born Film Excess favorite
When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings - The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Best Original Score
Black Panther - Ludwig Göransson
BlacKkKlansman - Terence Blanchard
If Beale Street Could Talk - Nicholas Britell Film Excess favorite
Isle of Dogs - Alexandre Desplat
Mary Poppins Returns - Marc Shaiman
Best Documentary - Feature
Free Solo Film Excess favorite
Hale Country This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG
Best Foreign Language Film
Capernaum (Lebanon) - Ladine Labaki Film Excess favorite
Cold War (Poland) - Pawel Pawlikowski
Never Look Away (Germany) - Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck
Roma (Mexico) - Alfonso Cuarón
Shoplifters (Japan) - Hirokazu Kore-eda
Best Animated Feature Film
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse Film Excess favorite
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs - Joel and Ethan Coen
BlacKkKlansman - Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
Can You Ever Forgive Me? - Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty
If Beale Street Could Talk - Barry Jenkins Film Excess favorite
A Star Is Born - Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
Best Original Screenplay
The Favourite - Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
First Reformed - Paul Shrader Film Excess favorite
Green Book - Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
Roma - Alfonso Cuarón
Vice - Adam McKay
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams - Vice Film Excess favorite
Marina de Tavira - Roma
Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone - The Favourite
Rachel Weisz - The Favourite
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali - Green Book Film Excess favorite
Adam Driver - BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott - A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant - Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell - Vice
Best Actress
Yalitza Aparicio - Roma
Glenn Close - The Wife
Olivia Colman - The Favourite Film Excess favorite
Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarty - Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Best Actor
Christian Bale - Vice
Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born Film Excess favorite
Willem Dafoe - At Eternity's Gate
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book'
Best Director
Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman Film Excess favorite
Pawel Pawlikowski - Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos - The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón - Roma
Adam McKay - Vice
Best Picture
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born Film Excess favorite
Vice
Related posts:
Oscars 2018: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2016: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2015: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2014: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
What are your predictions and hopes for the 2019 Oscars?
What do you think about my choices here?
Enjoy the show
Meet the free, proud, independent people of Ukraine: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzNxLzFfR5w Nothing but reviews. In excess. From ZERO to 6 ♥s. 100% ad-free. Run on pure love for movies, documentaries and TV-series. November 2024: More reviews of titles from 1990-2024 - Upcoming review: The Idealist (2015) - Now with 2,300+ reviews!
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