Oscars 2017: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites

The 89th Academy Awards are upon us, this year hosted, for the first time, by late-show host and comedian Jimmy Kimmel. Most nominated this year with 14 nominations is Damien Chazelle's musical La La Land, which ties with only two previous films in Oscar history with this extremely high number of nominations, (All About Eve (1950) and Titanic (1997).) 
Following are the predictions and favorites of Film Excess for the ceremony, which seem more uncertain than some other years due to the limited amount of nominated films watched yet. This again is due to the films mostly arriving in a block right around the time of the show and other circumstances.
As usual the 3 short film categories are left out here because I have no qualified opinion about them.

Red marks the person/s or film I predict will win the Oscar
Film Excess favorite marks the person/s or film I hope will win the Oscar

Best Picture

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Best Director

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival Film Excess favorite
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Best Actor

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Film Excess favorite
Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins Film Excess favorite

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals Film Excess favorite

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis, Fences Film Excess favorite
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water - Taylor Sheridan
La La Land - Damien Chazelle
The Lobster - Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Fillipou Film Excess favorite
Manchester by the Sea - Kenneth Lonergan
20th Century Women - Mike Mills

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival - Eric Heisserer Film Excess favorite
Fences - August Wilson
Hidden Figures - Allison Shroeder
Lion - Luke Davies
Moonlight - Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McCraney

Best Animated Feature

Kubo and the Two Strings Film Excess favorite
Moana
My Life As A Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Best Foreign Film

Land of Mine - Martin Zandvliet, Denmark Film Excess favorite
A Man Called Ove - Hannes Holm, Sweden
The Salesman - Asghar Farhadi, Iran
Tanna - Martin Butler, Bentley Dean, Australia
Toni Erdman - Maren Ade, Germany

Best Documentary Feature

Fire at Sea - Gianfranco Rosi, Donatella Palermo
I Am Not Your Negro - Raoul Peck, Rémi Grellety, Hébert Peck
Life, Animated - Roger Ross Williams, Julie Goldman
O.J. Made in America - Ezra Edelman, Caroline Waterlow
13th - Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick, Howard Barish Film Excess favorite

Best Score

Jackie - Mica Levi
La La Land - Justin Hurwitz Film Excess favorite  
Lion - Dustin O'Halloran, Hauschka
Moonlight - Nicholas Britell
Passengers - Thomas Newman

Best Original Song

La La Land: Audition (The Fools Who Dream) - Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul Film Excess favorite
Trolls: Can't Stop the Feeling! - Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, Karl Johan Schuster
La La Land: City of Stars - Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
Jim: The James Foley Story: The Empty Chair - J. Ralph, Sting
Moana: How Far I'll Go - Lin-Manuel Miranda

Best Sound Editing

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Best Production Design

Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Passengers Film Excess favorite

Best Cinematography

Arrival - Bradford Young Film Excess favorite
La La Land - Linus Sandgren
Lion - Graig Fraser
Moonlight - James Laxton
Silence - Rodrigo Prieto

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond Film Excess favorite
Suicide Squad

Best Costume Design

Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins Film Excess favorite
Jackie
La La Land

Best Editing

Arrival Film Excess favorite
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

Best Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book Film Excess favorite
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Related posts:

Oscars 2016: Predictions and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2015: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites
Oscars 2014: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites

What are your predictions and hopes for the 2017 Oscars?