Oscars 2014: Prognosis and Film Excess' favorites

Tonight is the night of the 86th annual Academy Awards, this year hosted by the lovely Ellen DeGeneres.
Here is a list of the nominated films and performers.
Red marks the person or film I expect will win.
To the right is indicated which is Film Excess' favorite.

Best Sound-Mixing:

Gravity     Film Excess' favorite
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Captain Phillips
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor

Best Sound Editing:

All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity     Film Excess' favorite
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

Best Visual Effects:

Gravity     Film Excess' favorite
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

Best Documentary Feature:

The Act of Killing     Film Excess' favorite
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square
20 Feet to Stardom

Best Make-Up and Hair:

Dallas Buyers Club     Film Excess' favorite
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger

Best Production Design:

12 Years a Slave     Film Excess' favorite
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
Her

Best Costumes:

American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
12 Years a Slave     Film Excess' favorite
The Grandmaster
The Invisible Woman

Best Editing:

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Gravity     Film Excess' favorite
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club

Best Original Song:

Despicable Me 2
Frozen     Film Excess' favorite
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Her

Best Original Score:

The Book Thief
Gravity
Her
Saving Mr. Banks     Film Excess' favorite
Philomena

Best Animated Feature:

The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Célestine
Frozen     Film Excess' favorite
The Wind Rises

Best Supporting Actress:

Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)     Film Excess' favorite
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
June Squibb (Nebraska)

Best Supporting Actor:

Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)     Film Excess' favorite
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Cinematography:

Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis     Film Excess' favorite
Nebraska
Prisoners
The Grandmaster

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street     Film Excess' favorite
Philomena

Best Original Screenplay:

American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Nebraska     Film Excess' favorite
Dallas Buyers Club

Best Foreign Film:

The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Great Beauty (Italy)     Film Excess' favorite
Omar (Palestine)

Best Actress:

Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)     Film Excess' favorite
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)

Best Actor:

Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)     Film Excess' favorite
Chiwetel Ejifor (12 Years a Slave)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Director:

Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
David O. Russell (American Hustle)
Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Alexander Payne (Nebraska)     Film Excess' favorite

Best Picture:

American Hustle
Captain Philips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska     Film Excess' favorite
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

NOTE:
The 3 short categories have been left out, since I haven't seen any of the subjects and don't know enough about them to have any qualified opinion.
Note also that the prognosis above may very well turn out to be completely wrong within just a few hours.

Enjoy the Oscars 2014!